Reckoning with Risk. Learning to Live with Uncertainty
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- Nombre de pages320
- FormatePub
- ISBN0-14-193308-9
- EAN9780141933085
- Date de parution24/04/2003
- Copier Coller02 page(s) autorisée(s)
- Protection num.Adobe DRM
- Infos supplémentairesepub
- ÉditeurPENGUIN
Résumé
"This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medicalchoices should read it" - New ScientistHowever much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning with risk?Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy.
Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.
Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.
"This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medicalchoices should read it" - New ScientistHowever much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning with risk?Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy.
Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.
Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.