The Virus of Recession: Global Economic Impact of a Potential Hantavirus PandemicWhat if the next global crisis did not originate in financial markets, but from a highly lethal pathogen capable of desynchronizing the planetary economy?In The Virus of Recession: Global Economic Impact of a Potential Hantavirus Pandemic, the author deciphers the macroeconomic, financial, and geopolitical mechanisms behind an atypical yet scientifically plausible health shock.
Far from fictional scenarios, this book offers a rigorous analysis based on real transmission models, structural vulnerabilities of globalized supply chains, and the limits of monetary policies when facing a recession driven by supply constraints. Across seven detailed chapters, the reader explores:?? Immediate financial contagion - how clinical uncertainty transforms into a systemic risk premium on capital markets.?? The anatomy of a hybrid shock - supply-demand desynchronization, shortages of critical skills, and inflationary stagnation.?? The central bank trilemma - liquidity, sovereign debt, and the traps of monetary policy under physical constraints.?? The geopolitics of scarcity - medical nationalism, trade fragmentation, and the acceleration of strategic decoupling.?? Corporate survival strategies - relocation, absorption, risk repricing, and balance sheet reconfiguration.?? The 2026-2028 trajectory - structural integration of a new low-growth regime where resilience replaces efficiency.
Written as a continuation of The American Sword of Damocles and The OPEC Shock, this book addresses investors, policymakers, economists, and business leaders anticipating asymmetric risks. It provides an essential analytical framework for navigating an environment where biology, geopolitics, and macroeconomics can no longer be treated separately. Recession is no longer a matter of cyclical downturns but of structural resilience.
Understanding transmission mechanisms today means preparing to preserve capital, employment, and economic sovereignty tomorrow.
The Virus of Recession: Global Economic Impact of a Potential Hantavirus PandemicWhat if the next global crisis did not originate in financial markets, but from a highly lethal pathogen capable of desynchronizing the planetary economy?In The Virus of Recession: Global Economic Impact of a Potential Hantavirus Pandemic, the author deciphers the macroeconomic, financial, and geopolitical mechanisms behind an atypical yet scientifically plausible health shock.
Far from fictional scenarios, this book offers a rigorous analysis based on real transmission models, structural vulnerabilities of globalized supply chains, and the limits of monetary policies when facing a recession driven by supply constraints. Across seven detailed chapters, the reader explores:?? Immediate financial contagion - how clinical uncertainty transforms into a systemic risk premium on capital markets.?? The anatomy of a hybrid shock - supply-demand desynchronization, shortages of critical skills, and inflationary stagnation.?? The central bank trilemma - liquidity, sovereign debt, and the traps of monetary policy under physical constraints.?? The geopolitics of scarcity - medical nationalism, trade fragmentation, and the acceleration of strategic decoupling.?? Corporate survival strategies - relocation, absorption, risk repricing, and balance sheet reconfiguration.?? The 2026-2028 trajectory - structural integration of a new low-growth regime where resilience replaces efficiency.
Written as a continuation of The American Sword of Damocles and The OPEC Shock, this book addresses investors, policymakers, economists, and business leaders anticipating asymmetric risks. It provides an essential analytical framework for navigating an environment where biology, geopolitics, and macroeconomics can no longer be treated separately. Recession is no longer a matter of cyclical downturns but of structural resilience.
Understanding transmission mechanisms today means preparing to preserve capital, employment, and economic sovereignty tomorrow.